市場報告

Market Report

2024 年 5 月REBGV 大溫哥華市場報告

大溫哥華地區房屋銷售在五月下降,庫存持續增加

溫哥華,不列顛哥倫比亞省 – 2024年6月4日 – 五月份通過多重上市服務(MLS®)的交易數量相比大溫哥華地區這個時期的通常水平有所下降。這一變化使得待售房屋庫存繼續積累,目前該地區MLS®上活躍的房源超過13,000套。

大溫哥華地區房地產經紀人協會(GVR)報告顯示,該地區2024年五月的住宅銷售總量為2,733套,較2023年五月的3,411套下降了19.9%。上月的銷售總量也較過去10年的五月平均水平(3,398套)下降了19.6%。

GVR的經濟和數據分析主任安德魯·利斯表示:“五月份的數據讓人意外,銷售情況比我們通常預期的要疲軟,而新上市的待售房屋數量則延續了四月份的部分勢頭。這一趨勢可以歸因於多種因素的共同作用,從借貸成本上升,到對經濟的擔憂,再到各級政府實施的政策干預,這些都在影響著當前市場中的買賣決策。”

2024年五月,大溫哥華地區在MLS®上新增的獨立屋、聯排別墅和公寓房源共計6,374套,比2023年五月的5,661套增加了12.6%,比過去10年的五月平均水平(5,958套)增加了7%。

目前大溫哥華地區在MLS®系統上列出的待售房源總數為13,600套,比2023年五月的9,293套增加了46.3%。這一總數也比過去10年的五月平均水平(11,344套)高出19.9%。

在所有獨立屋、聯排別墅和公寓類型中,2024年五月的銷售與活躍房源比率為20.8%。按房產類型劃分,獨立屋的比率為16.8%,聯排別墅為25.1%,公寓為22.5%。

歷史數據分析表明,當這一比率持續低於12%時,房價通常會承受下行壓力,而當其連續幾個月超過20%時,房價往往會承受上行壓力。

利斯說:“隨著市場趨勢回到更加平衡的狀態,新上市房源數量超過銷售數量,我們應該預期未來幾個月房價增長會放緩。直到最近,所有市場領域的價格都有所上漲。但隨著庫存水平上升和需求疲軟,等待機會的買家在今年夏天可能會有更多的運氣,即使借貸成本仍然較高。”

大溫哥華地區所有住宅物業的MLS®房價指數(HPI)綜合基準價格目前為1,212,000美元。這比2023年五月上漲了2.3%,比2024年四月上漲了0.5%。

2024年五月,獨立屋的銷售量達到846套,較2023年五月的1,043套下降了18.9%。獨立屋的基準價格為2,062,600加元,較2023年五月上漲了5.9%,較2024年四月上漲了1.3%。

2024年五月,公寓銷售量達到1,338套,較2023年五月的1,730套下降了22.7%。公寓的基準價格為776,200加元,較2023年五月上漲了2.2%,較2024年四月下降了0.3%。

2024年五月,聯排別墅銷售總量為523套,較2023年五月的608套下降了14%。聯排別墅的基準價格為1,145,500加元,較2023年五月上漲了5.2%,較2024年四月上漲了0.9%。

*文章來源: Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)


Metro Vancouver home sales down in May while inventory continues to increase VANCOUVER, BC – June 4, 2024 – The number of transactions on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) declined in May compared to what is typical for this time of year in Metro Vancouver1 . This shift has allowed the inventory of homes available for sale to continue to accumulate with over 13,000 homes now actively listed on the MLS® in the region. The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)2 reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,733 in May 2024, a 19.9 per cent decrease from the 3,411 sales recorded in May 2023. Last month’s sales total was also down 19.6 per cent from the 10-year seasonal average for May (3,398). “The surprise in the May data is that sales have come in softer than what we’d typically expect to see at this point in the year, while the number of newly listed homes for sale is carrying some of the momentum seen in the April data,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “It’s a natural inclination to chalk these trends up to one factor or another, but what we’re seeing is a culmination of factors influencing buyer and seller decisions in the market right now. It’s everything from higher borrowing costs, to worries about the economy, to policy interventions imposed by various levels of government.” There were 6,374 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver in May 2024. This represents a 12.6 per cent increase compared to the 5,661 properties listed in May 2023 and a seven per cent increase compared to the 10-year seasonal average (5,958). The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 13,600, a 46.3 per cent increase compared to May 2023 (9,293). This total is also up 19.9 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,344). Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2024 is 20.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 16.8 per cent for detached homes, 25.1 per cent for attached, and 22.5 per cent for apartment properties. Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months. “With market trends now tilting back toward more balanced conditions, as the number of new listings outpaces the number of sales, we should expect to see slower price growth over the coming months,” Lis said. “Up until recently, prices were climbing modestly across all market segments. But with rising inventory levels and softening demand, buyers who’ve been waiting for an opportunity might have more luck this summer, even if borrowing costs remain elevated.” The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price3 for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,212,000. This represents a 2.3 per cent increase over May 2023 and a 0.5 per cent increase compared to April 2024. Sales of detached homes in May 2024 reached 846, an 18.9 per cent decrease from the 1,043 detached sales recorded in May 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,062,600. This represents a 5.9 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 1.3 per cent increase compared to April 2024. Sales of apartment homes reached 1,338 in May 2024, a 22.7 per cent decrease compared to the 1,730 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $776,200. This represents a 2.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to April 2024. Attached home sales in May 2024 totalled 523, a 14 per cent decrease compared to the 608 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,145,500. This represents a 5.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

*Article source: Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)


Vancouver home price statistic
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